Plotting War Against Israel

A startling US Congress report predicts a future war in the Middle East, with the Syrians, Iraqis, Iranians and Palestinians collaborating in an attack on Israel.

The US Congressional Task Team on Terrorism and Unconventional Warfare report says,

"Approaching the end of 1996, the Middle East may well be on the verge of a major regional war. Numerous sources in the region report that the supreme leaders both civilians and military in most Arab states, as well as in Iran and Pakistan are convinced that the present vulnerability of Israel is so great that there is a unique opportunity to, at the very least, begin the process leading to the destruction of Israel.
"These circumstances are considered to be a historic window of opportunity the Muslim World should not miss. Therefore, these Muslim leaders have finalised numerous strategies and tactical alliances heretofore non-existent in the region."
The report describes manoeuvring between Iran, Iraq and Syria:
"In mid-June [1996], Iran and Syria signed a major agreement specifically for the codification of their military co-operation against Israel. By mid-August, Iraq was brought into this framework with the establishment of a tripartite 'joint command' specifically aimed to expedite the preparations for, and conduct of, a major war against Israel..."
Then, in September, a significant military pact was signed between Syria and the PA, in terms of which the PLO police forces and other armed organisations would cause "flare-ups in the Israeli interior in case of an escalation in the north". These "flare-ups" would tie down up to 50 000 Israeli troops, who could otherwise be deployed on the northern front.

An important part of the strategy relates to the culmination of the ongoing succession struggle in Saudi Arabia. Prime contender for the throne, Prince Abdullah, "has already promised Damascus to deliver a comprehensive oil embargo against the West in case of a major crisis with Israel." Such an embargo would seek to compel Western powers to stay out of the war.

MOST frightening, perhaps, is the task force's assessment of the Islamic nuclear capacity, which it says effectively neutralises the Israel's nuclear deterrent: "The nuclear factor has become a crucial element in any conflict in the Middle East. Iran has nuclear weapons, and so does Pakistan. The supreme leaders in Tehran are convinced that the numerous warheads purchased from the former Soviet Central Asia are operational.

"Irrespective of sceptic 'expert opinion' in the West, they the decision-makers in Tehran operate on the basis of their own conviction that Iran has operational nuclear weapons. Moreover, there are indications of a Pakistani agreement, with Chinese consent, to 'contribute' to the Muslim nuclear deterrence. And there is no doubt that Pakistan has operational nuclear weapons."
The aim of all this plotting, according to the report, is to isolate Israel internationally, surround her militarily, and at the very least threaten annihilation unless Arab demands such as the surrender of Jerusalem are met.
"One reason for the readiness to face war, as opposed to the reluctance shown previously, is the Muslim World's reading of Israel. Indeed, most senior leaders (especially in Damascus, Tehran, Baghdad and Cairo) are convinced that Israel is falling apart collapsing from within in a unique state of self-confusion, of having lost the will to fight and survive. Hence, the current crisis is unfolding in the context of a historical window of opportunity to resolve the Zionist menace once and for good."
Republican Congressman Jim Saxton, who heads the task force, told the Arutz 7 radio station in late January that the Clinton administration was making a mistake in not taking more seriously the possibility of a break-out of war in the Middle East.
"Because the American people want to hear that the peace process is succeeding, it becomes less difficult for the administration to brush aside possible threats to Israel, rather than deal with them directly ... According to this report, there is a clear and present danger to Israel and the Israeli people. By watching the policies of the former Israeli government and the current policies of the US government, one would think that things are just wonderful and that we have nothing to worry about in the Middle East, and all we have to do is make agreements like Hebron and everything will work out fine.
"But those of us in this Congressional Task Force believe the facts that are presented in this report ... and that the [administration] should recognise that the reality may not be the same as it would prefer to see ..."

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